Queen Anne's floral badge of Union |
Monday, 15 September 2014
Bonny Prince Alex
Prior to the union with England Scotland had a long and glorious tradition of following the wrong leader and creating the wrong alliances and this poor judgement eventually created the need for union with England 1706, when the Scottish Parliament voted by 106 votes to 69 for dependence. Since the Union there have also been a number of moments when the Scots have thrown their lot in with leaders (Bonny Prince Charlie for one) and alliances (The French) who offered more than they were able to deliver.
Tuesday, 2 September 2014
Germany's most important export is unemployment
Some time ago I posted a short piece entitled Austerity may be Wunderbar, the simple message in this blog was that Germany was the problem in
the EuroZone not the solution. Having
joined the Euro at a grossly undervalued rate the German economy has been on
the PIIGS back for the last fifteen years.
The net result of this competitiveness advantage was that in the years
1999-2008 German was able to re-boot its ailing economy by exporting cheaply to
its European Partners where
all control of credits markets had lapsed.
It's not just cars, but unemployment, that Germany exports |
Monday, 1 September 2014
Where no hawks dare to fly
The doves at the Fed led by the chief "cooer" Janet Yellen have found a new reason to keep interest rates at an historical low.
The latest buzz words are “Pent up wage deflation” and they provide an elaborate excuse for ultra loose monetary policy. The essence of the idea is that in the Great Recession of 2009-2011 the market rate for jobs fell appreciably but that because wages are "sticky" and actual wages remained flat. This stickiness of wages is a function organised labour (Trade unions), employee nervous to move jobs and employers who are reluctant to loose key staff.
Not a hawk in sight |
Labels:
austerity,
central bankers,
consumer spending,
deflation,
economy,
FT,
inflation,
interest rates
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