In the US failing
businesses are typically let go by their owners and Banks. In the UK, where
there is a stigma attached to bankruptcy, we hang on enduring a slow and painful
death. The expression Zombie company comes from this state of limbo and this
problem has got a number of economist excited.
As we await the arrival of the new Governor for the Bank of England and perhaps a change in Monetary policy maybe we should consider a fiscal squeeze to kill off these Zombie - to use a gardening metaphor - prune now to create green shoots in the spring. As the Telegraph tell us
One option is to tighten monetary policy by raising interest rates and putting QE into reverse. This is based on the Hayekian idea that the slow recovery is down to there being too many zombie companies being kept going by current monetary ease, which is blocking up the usual channels by which an economy heals and renews itself. Supposedly, what we need is a bout of creative destruction
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/rogerbootle/9814360/GDP-for-Q4-Be-prepared-to-get-that-sinking-feeling-on-Friday.html
The theory goes something like this: badly capitalised and poorly performing businesses are being propped up by the banks that don't want right down on their balance sheet. This cautiousness also makes the banks less willing to offer growing business the cash they need. The we are stuck in a vicious circle of low investment and low growth. To break this cycle the government could do more. One idea is to use the quantitative easing to by up these distressed assets this would put money in to the real economy and get these Zombies off our back.
As we await the arrival of the new Governor for the Bank of England and perhaps a change in Monetary policy maybe we should consider a fiscal squeeze to kill off these Zombie - to use a gardening metaphor - prune now to create green shoots in the spring. As the Telegraph tell us
One option is to tighten monetary policy by raising interest rates and putting QE into reverse. This is based on the Hayekian idea that the slow recovery is down to there being too many zombie companies being kept going by current monetary ease, which is blocking up the usual channels by which an economy heals and renews itself. Supposedly, what we need is a bout of creative destruction
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/rogerbootle/9814360/GDP-for-Q4-Be-prepared-to-get-that-sinking-feeling-on-Friday.html
The theory goes something like this: badly capitalised and poorly performing businesses are being propped up by the banks that don't want right down on their balance sheet. This cautiousness also makes the banks less willing to offer growing business the cash they need. The we are stuck in a vicious circle of low investment and low growth. To break this cycle the government could do more. One idea is to use the quantitative easing to by up these distressed assets this would put money in to the real economy and get these Zombies off our back.
Bank of England data from Nov 2012 tells us that 3 in 10
companies were loss making in 2010 -11, but companies falling into administration
has hardly risen. These dead businesses
are tying up capital and resources that more dynamic business would love to get
their hands on. Also this log-jam has
slowed the rate of company births and also reduced the overall productivity of
the economy.
This is a massive drag on our economy as the chart below
shows: if we believe that 30% of our
businesses are Zombies the scale of the problem is enormous. Being conservative we could expect that the
problem is most keenly felt in the smaller company sector. If so this
amounts to 3.8m people working in unproductive companies or 16% of the
workforce.
1-100 employees
|
Businesses
|
|
Employment
|
|
Employees
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
All business in UK
|
4,777,455
|
|
12,571,700
|
|
8,582,500
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30% Zombies
|
1,433,237
|
|
3,771,510
|
|
2,574,750
|
Company owners need to be encouraged to wind things up
rather than limp along, unable to shed staff due to the cost of redundancy but
without the work required to keep their workforce busy. Over to you George O
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