The case for a fully functioning Bad Bank is now becoming very
clear. The recent news that Jim O’Neil
is to leave UK Financial Investments, the organisation tasked to sell our
publicly owned banks at a profit, without getting in striking distance of
selling a single share in Lloyds or RBS is depressing beyond belief. The last three years have been wasted as these two behemoths of the
banking business are still miles away from full private ownership.
The government took shares in these two
failed banks in return for the massive amount of tax payer’s money that was
required to prop them up in 2008. The
tax payer still owns over 70% of RBS and over 45% of Lloyds. The marketing of these publicly owned assets
has been terribly damaged by the muddled thinking at the Treasury and a mass of
new and competing regulation these organisations are facing – Vickers
commission, Dodd Frank, EMIR, Basel 3, Solvency 2, The closure of the FSA, to name a few.
Whilst the banks are being used as a political football there will be no
hope for the tax payer.
Clearly regulation is required and all banks are going through the same
pain so this alone should not be an insurmountable problem. The real issue is that having bailed them out
in 2008 the Government did not take bold enough action to tidy up these banks. Rather than setting up a Bad Bank to manage
the distressed and risk loans and assets
the Government asked both banks to manage the run off of bad debts an toxic
assets themselves, as a results Britain’s most important lending organisations
are unable to perform the function for which they were designed – lending money
to reliable creditors. This deadlock of
broken banks unable to lend to a broken economy is tightening the liquidity
trap in which we are now caught.
Alongside the failure of structural reform the government has,
unwittingly, hampered the banking industry through its malfunctioning Monetary
policy. By keeping interest rates at artificially
low levels, banks have lost profit margins and the reduced liquidity and make
re-capitalisation impossible. The other ‘benefits’
of negative interest rates caused by large scale Quantitative Easing have been
rising inflation and the rise of Zombie companies (businesses barley able to
keep their heads above water), both of which have a negative impact on our
lending institutions.
The banking problem reflects back a wider issue. The gently, gently approach to economic
reform and deficit reduction have actually made things worse. A monetarist strategy that applied positive
interest rates might well have been the answer.
Higher interest rates would have resolved the banking crisis quickly,
rewarded savers, managed down house prices, boosted banking activities and in
return inflicted some marginal pain of borrowers. If the George Osborne had taken this more Thatcherite
approach to the crisis we would have had more pain in 2010 – 11 but we would
now be on the road to recovery – rather than dead in the water.
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